Western Resolve - The Attack On Iran

Pathway To China. The Short Telegram.

Sections: War Report / End Note 1.

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>>> War Report <<<

The recently, oft-stated, planned attacks on Iran’s oil islands are smoke and mirrors, although they might go ahead as Iran is weakened.

A major invasion force, counted in divisions, is being assembled close to Iran, along with other special task forces into the region, accompanied by news blackouts and diversions in The West, mostly. Ignore what is coming out of The Usual Sources. Iran cannot be defeated by other than a land invasion, with one qualifier.

Timing? Say withing three weeks? Say the third week in April, 2026?

Special Forces have been operating inside Iran for some time. They lead in an invasion, with the necessary intelligence and preparatory work, although their presence does not always flag a forthcoming invasion. Here, yes.

It is existential now, for Iran, the U.S. and Israel. Especially as the IRGC has demonstrated conclusively that they can defeat Western anti-missile defensive systems. The U.S. will now act quickly to prevent Iran reducing Israel, their major U.S ally in the region, to a non-functioning state. By that reasoning, Iran must be reduced to a non-functioning state, always the objective. Iranian military successes now makes this exigent. Ceasefires or peace treaties were no more than the means to gear up for the next conflict.

For Iran - the removal of U.S. Forces from the region, the removal of U.S. commercial and banking interests and the removal of Israel’s capacity to wage war. For the U.S. - this must be resisted, at all costs. The planning for the War on Iran goes back decades. In a long program of killing off Iranian political moderates, so enabling ascendant hard-line, read politically realistic leaders, this ensures that the IRGC commits to an unrelenting attack on Israel, Pentagon installations and Gulf proxies and that the IRGC will not likely be seduced into always deceptive peace talks around non-existent nuclear weapons. This, in turn, enabling Western propaganda outlets to depict Iran as an aggressor, not susceptible to negotiations, as fake as those have been.

Assassinating Iran’s religious leader finally ensured that there would no departure from IRGC’s war strategies and so “justify” this unwanted yet necessary attack on this terrorist state, so-called.

In this conflict, now about to escalate, both Russia and China cannot allow Iran to lose. An ultimate proxy showdown.

For this conflict, the U.S. moved to secure oil resources for it’s use and Israel’s. Most recently all of Venezuela’s, before that Syria, Libya, Iraq and Canada, along with its own domestic U.S. resources. Clearly has The Pentagon planned for the closure of that now most famous Strait. It suits them. This will bring significant economic and societal pressure on BRICS countries to break with Russia and China and Iran. The psychological impact on BRICS countries of the destruction of Iran and assassinations of leaders cannot be overlooked here.

Western Media Propaganda will direct blame at Iran as many of the world’s economies wind down. Keeping the Strait open would not be an American priority as it serves Washington’s agenda.

Control of the Iranian State advantages The United States in three direct ways. The INSTC, that would otherwise bypass Suez, is stopped (refer prior Substack essay Washington - London War On Iran, 21st June, 2025), China’s One Belt Road pathway through Iran stops at the Iranian border and oil flows to China are stopped. U.S. interests tap out Iran’s rich resources. Consistent with U.S. overarching interests. Refer End Note 1.

That overarching objective here is U.S. control of global energy and resources, or the majority. The attack on Russia via The Ukraine has not succeeded and has been very costly. But the means to degrade Russia’s prosperity and power projection remains with this campaign. After Iran is defeated, the focus will move on to China.

Of Note: U.S. Nuclear Doctrine circa 2002 expanded its targeting policy and included five countries as potential targets for U.S. nuclear weapons, then all non-nuclear states. Iran was specifically nominated, along with North Korea, Iraq, Syria and Libya. Subsequently, North Korea acquired functional nuclear weapons systems and thus is not at risk from attack. U.S. Nuclear Doctrine cites a nuclear response to what is described as open-ended surprising military developments, by their exclusive determination. In view of what has been brought down on Iran, they will drop their opposition to a domestic nuclear weapons program and another reason why the U.S. must move on Iran now, to completion. Iran is not the only state to be convinced that only by possessing the means to deliver massive devastation on U.S. interests does it preserve themselves from attack, as has North Korea demonstrated.

Expect large U.S. invasion ground force losses as the justifier. Yet . . .

The oft cited claims of U.S. decline seem out of place. By the usual metrics of Power Relations, on balance, The United States is winning. That is, many may die and many will die. The U.S. Power Elite prevails.

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“Tehran is a lovely city. It is about to be destroyed”.

The following is a picture of Tehran City as you will remember it, before it has the appearances of, say, one eastern Ukrainian city Zaporizhzhia. Thereafter, for Iran, something of a Strategy of Tension, of sorts. Like Libya and Syria, keeping those countries in a state of internal warring factions while U.S. interests tap out resources, technical teams operate under the protection of Western Military Forces and Mercenary Armies, with Intelligence Agencies and Special Forces functioning to remove non-compliant domestic political leaders who oppose extractive foreign interventions.

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End Note 1: Marco Rubio’s Munich Security Address 14th February, 2026.

Extracts.

The last sentence gives meaning to Western Resolve.

“We are part of one civilization – Western civilization. We are bound to one another by the deepest bonds that nations could share, forged by centuries of shared history, Christian faith, culture, heritage, language, ancestry, and the sacrifices our forefathers made together for the common civilization to which we have fallen heir.”

“ . . . only if we are unapologetic in our heritage and proud of this common inheritance can we together begin the work of envisioning and shaping our economic and our political future.”

“De-industrialization was . . . a conscious policy choice, a decades-long economic undertaking that stripped our nations of their wealth, of their productive capacity, and of their independence. And the loss of our supply chain sovereignty was not a function of a prosperous and healthy system of global trade. It was foolish. It was a foolish but voluntary transformation of our economy that left us dependent on others for our needs and dangerously vulnerable to crisis.”

“Together we can re-industrialize our economies and rebuild our capacity to defend our people. But the work of this new alliance should not be focused just on military cooperation and reclaiming the industries of the past. It should also be focused on . . . new frontiers, unshackling our ingenuity, our creativity, and the dynamic spirit to build a new Western century . . . creating a Western supply chain for critical minerals not vulnerable to extortion from other powers; and a unified effort to compete for market share in the economies of the Global South . . . take back control of our own industries and supply chains – we can prosper in the areas that will define the 21st century.”

“And finally, we can no longer place the so-called global order above the vital interests of our people and our nations.”