"Most wars are not fought over shortages of resources such as food and water, but rather over conquest, revenge and ideology" - Steven Pinker, Harvard University.
As judged by outcomes, one must again contemplate just how can the Washington - London Military Intelligence Establishment gets it so wrong, from Vietnam (exclusive of Harold Wilson's Britain) to Afghanistan, then Iraq, then to The Ukraine with a few military sideshows along the way and with one arguable exception, the ten-year-in-planning and execution of the Syrian Government overthrow, the explanation stems from their intelligence and military apparatus incompetence, magically papered over by an unrelentingly and pervasively propagandizing Western Mainstream Media, its front-line personalities and their scripted, convergent narrative lying, that Human Trash now best observed in biological taxonomic terms as to be an Identifiable Subspecies occupying its own Media Ecosystem that sustains them and enables them to expand like a suppurating infection, seemingly without limit.
Dr. Kim Roosevelt's 1979 book documents how he led the overthrow of the Government of Iran to re-establish British exclusive control over Iranian oil resources. Of note are his remarks, Page 23, where he relates being called, in Washington, to what would become The Office of Strategic Services, headed by General William "Wild Bill" Donovan where he became one of the earliest O.S.S operators (1941). After completing his PhD thesis "Propaganda Techniques in the English Civil War", he went on to write an essay for publication on " . . . the kind of clandestine service organization the U.S. should develop for World War II". Instead of publishing this, he sent it to General Donovan who had The President's authorization to set up " . . . something very like what . . . " Dr. Roosevelt was proposing.
Sections: The Winner Wrote This History / Blood, Oil and Historical Pivots / Hypersonic Myths, Hypersonic Realities / True Lies & Anti-Missile Systems / The End Of Stealth? / End Note 1: Overthrow Events & Attempts.
Feel free to reproduce, in part or full and to use in one’s own publications and communications, with attribution. Free to subscribe.
>>> The Winner Wrote This History <<<
The 1953 overthrow of the democratically elected government of Iran, led by Prime Minister Dr. Mohammad Mosaddegh, was based on a British Plan created by MI6 operating out of Cyprus, as they still are and executed successfully by the American O.S.S. operator (Office of Strategic Services) Dr. Kim Roosevelt, grandson of President Theodore Roosevelt, to bring Iranian oil assets back under the control of London. That the Brits lost control of their Anglo-Iranian Oil Company, an all Anglo operation with Iranian oil and Iranian crews and no Iranian control, after British management refused an independent audit of quantities of extraction and contractual payments to the Government of Iran, which did not represent the major share of income value and which contract the Brits were in breach of, AKA lying and cheating, could have been avoided if they, the Brits, conducted themselves with integrity. Quite possibly a John McEnroe moment - “You can’t be serious!” There was imperial exploitation.
Post-WWII, London was in no position to execute such a plan. The Americans were - at least when Eisenhower took over as US President as his predecessor Harry Truman was not prepared to. Kim Roosevelt is critical of The Born-to-Rule British Elites for their inept handling of negotiations with the Iranian Government, which finally led to the Brits being ejected from Iran and Russian oil specialists brought in to support operations. It was by no means certain that this overthrow event, the first of many executed by Central Intelligence, with the Iranian Government overthrow serving as the first serious CIA case study, would succeed and much concern was given over to the allegiances of various senior Iranian military officers who had brigades of tanks and men under their respective commands. Suitcases of money certainly aided this higher cause. False media narratives certainly aided this higher cause. Flooding the economy with counterfeit money, printed by the CIA, to drive up inflation certainly aided this higher cause. Other things done certainly aided this higher cause.
The Future is written in The Past.
In September, 1953, Kim Roosevelt reported on his Iranian Government Overthrow outcome at the White House to The President, Secretary of State, Director of Central Intelligence, Chairman of the Joint Chiefs and others and subsequently summarized his warning thus . . .
"Gentlemen, there is one thing I want to make very clear. We were successful in this venture because our assessment of the situation in Iran was correct. We believed - and we were proven right - that if the people and the armed forces were shown that they must choose, that Mossadegh was forcing them to choose, between their monarch and a revolutionary figure backed by the Soviet Union, they could, and would, only make one choice. With some help from us, but mostly because Mossadegh, the Tudeh (parliament) and eventually the U.S.S.R. itself, forced the choice upon them, the populace made a choice. And most convincingly. The people and the army came, overwhelmingly, to the support of The Shah. You can have no idea from here - you really had to be in Iran - of the heartfelt strength of that support.
"If our analysis had been wrong, we'd have fallen flat on our, er, faces. But it was right.
"If we, the CIA, are ever going to try something like this again, we must be absolutely sure that people and army want what we want.
"If not, you had better give the job to The Marines!"
Kim Roosevelt went on to write that the Secretary of State did not want to hear this, that he, Roosevelt, was offered an assignment in Guatemala that he refused and " . . . resigned from the CIA - before the Bay of Pigs disaster underlined the validity of my warning".
Bearing in mind that Dr. Roosevelt could have been killed in the overthrow of the Mossedegh Government to re-install the Shah, with the subsequent "loss" of that country in The Iranian Revolution 1978-1979, he places the blame on the Shah himself whom he described as indecisive, cloistered, somewhat given to magical thinking and politically inept.
Washington - London - Tel Aviv Leadership now either do not recognize Dr. Roosevelt's warning or discard its relevance; more likely they do not know. They cannot be certain that the Iranian people and the Iranian Armed Forces want anything different than the present leadership arrangements. Factually they know they do not. Pronouncements from Western Leaders calling for the Iranian people to overthrow their government appear as desperate narratives for Western audiences alone. Kim Roosevelt's overthrow operation operated from within Iran where there was dissatisfaction with Dr. Mossadegh's Government which could be amplified. Notably within the Iranian Armed Forces. Here and now, a foreign attack serves to unify the population and armed forces behind the Iranian Government.
To reinforce . . .
"If we, the CIA, are ever going to try something like this again, we must be absolutely sure that people and army want what we want. If not, you had better give the job to The Marines!" This is now the case.
More to the point, this present Washington - London War on Iran is waged for oil and geo-political dominance and the preservation of their World Order by preventing the emergence of the BRICS New World Order.
>>> Blood, Oil and Historical Pivots <<<
This June 2009 Analysis Paper marks the public recognition that the War on Iran will move to the front burner. Chapter Five is entitled "Leave It To Bibi: Allowing or Encouraging an Israeli Air Strike". The position of Washington - London remains that of Little Red Riding Hood who knows no evil.
The intention and planning by Washington/London interests to take back Iran proceeds from the loss of "their" state after the Iranian Revolution has now moved to the front burner. This June 2009 Analysis Paper formalizes the intent and the means, more or less. The attack by Israel on Iran is that formal commencement. It should be self-evident, but not by some, that the casus belli for this campaign has nothing to do with Iran's nuclear weapons program, as otherwise repetitively and strenuously asserted in The Western Hemisphere of Universal Righteousness.
Be left in no doubt. Said media broadcasters who present this as a war over Iran possessing nuclear weapons and what used to be called an Islamic Bomb, until Washington ally Pakistan created its own nuclear arsenal and Washington proceeded to de-tune the use of that pejorative descriptor, are lying. Factually, Iran could deploy nuclear armed missiles in a matter of several weeks, likely sourced from Pakistan or North Korea, the latter a former client state of Pakistan for their creation of nuclear weapons. In any case, Israel is also in striking distance of Pakistan Armed Forces who have threatened to strike their nuclear research establishment at Dimona with long range missiles.
The prizes are, in no particular order, Iranian Oil for the Israeli State and denial of oil to China, along with the greater strategic goal of destroying the BRICS New World Trade Order, this by destroying Iran's military power, changing the government to one compliant with Western Interests and removing Iran from its critical position as a major node in the One Belt Road major transportation corridor that threatens the West's management and control of the world's major trade corridors and pricing. Expressed differently, the strict definition of an Imperial State is in its ability to extract economic advantage from militarily weaker states, always to the detriment of the weaker state. The Global Majority, in it's alignment with the China-Russia-Iran-South Africa and other states' BRICS economic trade integration, is more than an ordinary economic threat to Western States as the West faces something approaching state bankruptcy and social breakdown.
French President Emmanuel Macron expressed this mildly in stating, for France, the end of prosperity as France is gradually forced to abandon its African colonies, known as protectorates. These wars are not, as falsely described, wars over ideologies. These are wars over resources waged by overpopulated states that cannot otherwise guarantee their populations any sense of prosperity, taken with disparate sub-communities of large immigrant numbers lacking a common outlook, an outcome entirely attributed to Liberal Reformists who understand nothing of the history, notably what it took to build modern Western states, well expressed thus . . .
"The West won the world not by the superiority of its ideas or values of religion (to which few members of other civilizations were converted), but rather by its superiority in applying organized violence. Westerners often forget this fact, non-Westerners never do" - Sam Huntington, The Clash of Civilizations, 2011, Chapter 2.
Alternatively expressed, the foreigner from The Periphery is allowed to come to The Center by those, the inheritors at The Center who take for granted their prosperity and fail to grasp the difference between the fruit of that tree and what it required to put that tree there in the first place, namely the effective actions of Savage Men with Vision, but not savages as they would be mistakenly construed. That they were not. The foreigner from The Periphery is inclined to look around and so realize what was stolen from The Periphery to build these magnificent cities of the West. They know their history. The Westerner does not.
Where the implication of this is missed or unconsciously blocked, uncontrolled immigration by a misguided liberal educated class makes prosperity less attainable, societies more fractious, the wars for resources more acute.
The West's War on Iran is conducted by Savage Men of Vision, albeit misguided. Alternatively, the milk of human kindness rested on a surplus of resources. That surplus is out.
It appears likely, as with Washington/London/Brussels' Ukrainian Proxy War on Russia with The Ukraine as the West's Trojan Horse Proxy and a destroyed one at that, that they will lose against Iran, that is, they will fail to achieve that illustrious and much vaunted and glorious victory that filled out a vast real estate of Western Media print space and mindless narrative talk-back, being The Promise of The Ukraine's Victory over our latest Public Enemy #1 and similarly this new Middle Eastern conflict will play out as an Extended Attritional War where damage is taken by one or other countries, the principal drivers of this long-in-the-planning campaign remaining physically distant while supplying and resupplying their Israeli proxy. This is an American War with Israel as the Trojan Horse or Attack Dog, while Washington and Britain feign innocence, pretend no involvement and speak against an all out conflict while citing Iran as the aggressor.
Israel will not disappear, nor can it prevail. The Brooking Institute Report emphasizes this. Both Iran and Israel face the very real risk of taking on significant damage, especially in the large cities where important assets reside, civilian and military. Israel, on far smaller real estate than Iran, could mirror The Ukraine while the U.S. continues to supply the Israeli Military from its many bases in the region, which themselves have been stocked up in preparation, an obvious predictor to the forthcoming campaign. In contradiction to numerous misguided commentators, the true U.S. Power Elite (non-Jewish), the ones who really call the tune, do not care if Israel is smashed up, as with The Ukraine and now as Syria (where US interests were removing Syrian oil and agricultural products, as one Biden Administration official confirmed in the last few months of that Administration, not that this was not known), as with Libya, Afghanistan and Iraq before them. Everything here is Washington/ London Kabuki Theater and The American President is completely on board.
Given that The United States' imperial reach faces a slow decline, Washington cannot abandon this campaign, as it did in Afghanistan, as it has failed in The Ukraine. As long as Iran is not defeated, it must keep Israel in the fight. Here, Israel serves as Washington's Middle Eastern Monroe Doctrine Operator, for the achievement of Washington's Geo-Political Goals. Thus the expectation that this campaign will transform to Attritional Warfare, as with The Ukraine, with this conflict likely to continue for many months, the pace of conflict never linear, it can appear to go quiet yet looks set to continue with Washington - UK - NATO supplying Israel from its regional bases and Iranian allies China, Russia and other states supplying it.
The public position adopted by Russia concerning the War on Iran mirrors that taken with The Ukraine, that is, to avoid positioning it as a war between Russia's allies and U.S. allies. This has been interpreted mistakenly as Russia not supporting its ally. Russia, nor China, can allow a regime change event unfavourable to their interests.
>>> Hypersonic Myths, Hypersonic Realities <<<
Technology defines the limits of capability.
The Spoils of War. Published 2021. In the limit, the only measure is battlefield performance against a first rate military power and the remarks concerning U.S. and Russian research and development of Hypersonic Missiles has not aged well. What has aged well are Russian deceptions and perceptions of actual Russian technological and military power, such perceptions in residence within the minds of Washington/London/NATO Thought Leaders.
From Andrew Cockburn's book and attributed to Dr. Ivan Selin, an acting assistant Secretary of Defense, newly arrived subordinates to The Pentagon, circa 1960, would be informed " . . . that they would be programming 'weapons that don't work to meet threats that don't exist'" - Page 61. Whatever threats do exist, Andrew Feinstein's book The Shadow World: Inside the Global Arms Trade, 2012, makes clear that whatever threats do exist, the outright corruption in the Western Armaments Industry leads to the creation of weapons systems that are costly, complex and of questionable performance against first rate armies.
No Western country nor Western ally can field Hypersonic Missiles. Nor can they field first rate military analysts nor first rate weapons designers. We are now about to see where on the spectrum of military performance Iran is placed.
According to Pentagon weapons designers, it was doubtful that Hypersonic Missiles could perform since the heat would, by implication, consume them, Page 65. Other reasons are advanced as to why The Physics defeats Hypersonic Missiles, along with entirely erroneous assumptions as to why the Russian State and President Putin by name is developing such weapons, Page 67. Attributing thought and motivations to President Putin is an industry in itself that consumes Western Mainstream Media. Andrew Cockburn artlessly explains, for the instruction of the over-educated, a technical-political nexus of this so-called chimerical Hypersonic Missile Technology and we note the use of the word “ineradicable”, thus stated - "Given these ineradicable technical limitations, of which even the most remotely well-informed Russian security official must be aware, Putin's mission to destabilize American missile defense initiatives makes no sense", Page 68. Further speculations of what concerns or troubles the Russian President follow. Finally is it acknowledged, Page 70 and of U.S. Hypersonic Systems Tests, 2021, that "All tests of proposed systems, however unchallenged, had failed."
As Russian physicists have transcended that deemed ineradicable by those who know better, just what we common folk are to make of such things remains inaccessible to us.
Shortly after the commencement of Russia's Special Military Operation, Russian Armed Forces fired the first of many Hypersonic Missiles at a Concentration Center in the north west of The Ukraine, killing and dismembering some hundreds of Ukrainian and foreign soldiers and mercenaries. Since then there have been many uses of the many variants of Russian Hypersonic Missiles across The Ukraine, including Deep Earth Penetrators to kill Ukrainian, NATO and British officers and staff and destroy their deep underground complexes. U.S. military sources acknowledge the successful fielding of Russian Hypersonics, such performance that cannot be intercepted by U.S. Anti-Missile Systems as "eye watering."
Iran has now demonstrated with effect their possibly leading Hypersonic Missile, equipped with A.I. for evasive measures, against Israeli - U.S. Anti-Missile Systems.
>>> True Lies & Anti-Missile Systems <<<
The 98% shoot down Success Ratio, as widely broadcasted, stands as a standout example of half truths and whole lies in using what appears to be an ostensibly true technical outcome with an entirely false tactical reality.
There always has been doubts concerning the effectiveness of any Western Anti-Missile System, systems performance being ascribed exclusively to the manufacturers or users of such systems. In the limit, the only measure is battlefield performance against a first rate military power. From both Dr. Selin's and Andrew Feinstein's writings one would easily conclude that The Spend is no true indication of military effectiveness. That The Spend is the most frequently touted number to assess military effectiveness is one example of how we are treated as fools, but by no means the only one.
The IRGC claims to have defeated the Three Layer Anti-Missile System, or four if the U.S. THAAD System is included. These claims appear authentic based on the damage to Israeli suburban targets, particularly military and high value civilian targets.
To defeat the three layers involves directing waves of slow and cheaper to faster and more sophisticated drones, cruise missiles and fast missiles to progressively exhaust the missiles used to effect layered aerial defenses, thereafter the fastest and heavier blast yield missiles are fired against targets, now offering up little resistance. Additionally, A.I. final stage warheads take evasive actions in fast final descent.
Thus, if Iranian drones and missiles that exhaust anti-missile defense systems amount to, say, 98% of all systems fired, these were deliberately sacrificed to consume defensive systems, The Tactic. Thereafter the very dangerous and most destructive missiles are directed at targets. It follows that an alleged 98% success rate in intercepting the forgoing expendable systems amounts to a 100% failure rate if all or most of the most destructive Iranian missiles reach their targets, which may well have been the case.
Additionally, anti-missile systems have now been exhausted at a far greater cost to the defender than the much cheaper systems designed to absorb anti-missile systems by the attacker. One can see here a change in the Battlefield Cost Dynamic, where the advantage usually accrued to the defender.
>>> The End Of Stealth? <<<
The IRGC claims that it shot down two U.S. F-35 elite supersonic stealth strike fighters, one as pictured.
If the IRGC can defeat U.S. stealth aircraft, there goes American air power and foreign armaments sales and we note that the IRGC has always been pitched as not much more than third rate, as was The Russian Armed Forces. This must be avoided as well as assiduously denied, as with France and the recent conflict where Pakistan claimed to have shot down French Dassault Aviation Rafale jets, as flown against it by the Indian Air Force, May 2025. Indian media reported the Indian Air Force to be very angry with their French supplier!
It is argued that the reason the U.S. has not flown stealth planes into The Ukraine to engage Russian aerial defense systems is because Russian systems have rendered stealth technology obsolete, although they will not admit to this as it would prove decisive in any future engagement. The Pentagon has avoided any situation where this can be conclusively demonstrated. Except perhaps now. The implication also here is that even as The West’s Ukraine Proxy War on Russia is a lost cause, The Pentagon would still not risk stealth weapons against The Russian Armed Forces to turn that tide of battle.
As with hypersonic missile technology, it is likely that Russian counter stealth technology has been delivered to the IRGC or otherwise been jointly developed with Iranian scientists. If the downed F-35 is an authentic example of stealth aircraft being shot down, this then inhibits the U.S. flagship heavy stealth bomber, the B-2, from entering or approaching Iranian air space. Thus rendered mission impossible the delivery of U.S. heavy earth penetrating munitions, intended to destroy Iran's vast underground weapons arsenals or nuclear weapons program, an intention as stated by Washington.
The evidence of things not seen - the U.S. not fielding flagship stealth bomber technology against Iran over the course of this campaign.
Neither the U.S. nor Israel has Hypersonic Missiles, unlike Russia that also has Earth Penetrating Hypersonic Missiles.
End Note 1: Overthrow Events & Attempts
China 1949 to early 1960s Albania 1949-53 East Germany 1950s Iran 1953 Guatemala 1954 Costa Rica mid-1950s Syria 1956-7 Egypt 1957 Indonesia 1957-8 British Guiana 1953-64 Iraq 1963 North Vietnam 1945-73 Cambodia 1955-70 Laos 1958 1959 1960 Ecuador 1960-63 Congo 1960 France 1965 Brazil 1962-64 Dominican Republic 1963 Cuba 1959 onward Bolivia 1964 Indonesia 1965 Ghana 1966 Chile 1964-73 Greece 1967 Costa Rica 1970-71 Bolivia 1971 Australia 1973-75 Angola 1975, 1980's Zaire 1975 Portugal 1974-76 Jamaica 1976-80 Seychelles 1979-81 Chad 1981-82 Grenada 1983 South Yemen 1982-84 Suriname 1982-84 Fiji 1987 Libya 1980's Nicaragua 1981-90 Panama 1989 Bulgaria 1990 Albania 1991 Iraq 1991 Afghanistan 1980s Somalia 1993 Yugoslavia 1999-2000 Ecuador 2000 Afghanistan 2001 Venezuela 2002 Iraq 2003 Haiti 2004 Somalia 2007 onward Honduras 2009 Libya 2011 Syria 2012 onward Ukraine 2014 onward.
Very interesting essay and very useful fodder for those of us that ponder the same history, especially the many things that are illogical (which I suppose can be just accepted as a result of humans being involved).
I have been contemplating why the Western Governments create narratives that are contrary to the truth and then act as if they have forgotten that the propagandists purposely twist(ed) the facts (so they are often 180 degrees away from the facts). For example: The Russians are incompetent, are running out of their inferior weapons and soldiers and are losing the Proxy War. Yet, contrary to Cognitive Dissonance Theory, they also assert that the evil Russians are an Existential Threat to The Ukraine and the rest of Europe. The US knows about the attrition rate of equipment (even if they believe the UKR lies about losses of personnel) so the US knows about the inferiority of their tactics (combined arms), vehicles, air defense systems, and ammunition production for a couple of years, yet they have done nothing significant to improve. Not a very good advertisement for the MIC or self-image that "NATO rules".
There is an old folk tale about an angry, unhappy and unpleasant man, whose manner has ensured he has no friends. One day he complains about this to a Wise Man who gives him advice, "Your problem will disappear if you pretend to be happy and friendly." The angry unpleasant SOB decides to take the advice and proceeds to "fake it". After a few weeks he wakes up and realizes that he is no longer an angry, unhappy SOB. Acting happy had consequences (in the way other people treated him) that made him happy and he was oblivious that it was happening.
Lie long enough and you believe the lie.
Acting as Hegemon engenders and bolsters the belief that one IS THE HEGEMON and leads to consequences (from others) that bolsters the belief in all the things that are part of that Hegemony. So America is the strongest power ever seen in the world, with the best weapons, the most prosperous economy, and the most freedom (despite the average voter voting for someone who promised to restore America's lost "Greatness").
I would be interested to be able to read (and contemplate) your classification criteria for your "Overthrow Events or Attempts", because I noted you did not include Georgia (where the original attempts failed and it may be continuing) among others. Somewhere there is probably a fine line between "influence" and "regime change event". It is possible the reality in many situations is that the goal is:
Either "sufficient Influence", or failing that "regime change", whatever happens first.
If this idea is correct I believe that many more cases will be found by looking at historical activities of USAID and their NGO's efforts around the world.
On your list, I suggest that the Ukraine effort at Regime change started closer to 2004 or the late 1990s, than 2014.
It is not that I am complaining. On the contrary, I have copied your list and the citation so that when I quote your work I can be sure I include correct attribution. That is another reason I'd like to know the criteria for inclusion in your long list.
"Here, the good intentions of others of importance count for little, or nothing. Everyone has them. The only measure and it is the only measure, is outcomes. So, every manipulating political leader, every covert intelligence officer, every self-proclaimed business thought leader and every mainstream media personality will talk to their high minded values, their good intentions - for us. They avoid the adverse consequences of their conduct with studied efficiency"
To quote you Les.
One of the things that disturbs me, is that no one seems to look at outcomes of policy from a moral point of view. As one of the little people, the outcomes of everything is horrific. However, for those who rule us, the outcomes are wonderful, because they get ahead in thier petty destructive games.
Not sure how to change this, other than to try and get people to look at what happens over 5 years, 10 years, 25 years not just what happens over the next 3 months.